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	<title>Atul Karmarkar.Com&#187; Fundas</title>
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		<title>Simple guide to commodity trading</title>
		<link>http://www.atulkarmarkar.com/simple-guide-to-commodity-trading/</link>
		<comments>http://www.atulkarmarkar.com/simple-guide-to-commodity-trading/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jan 2007 07:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Atul Karmarkar</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fundas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.the-smart-investor.org/?p=19</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
You may have your debt and equity funds in place, but investing in commodities could just be the one element to improve your portfolio. Commodity trading provides an ideal asset allocation, also helps you hedge against inflation and buy a piece of global demand growth.



In 2003, the ban on commodity trading was lifted after 40 [...]]]></description>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">You may have your debt and equity funds in place, but investing in commodities could just be the one element to improve your portfolio. Commodity trading provides an ideal asset allocation, also helps you hedge against inflation and buy a piece of global demand growth.</p>
<p></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">In 2003, the ban on commodity trading was lifted after 40 years in India. Now, more and more people are interested in investing in this new asset class. While price fluctuations in the sector could get rather volatile depending on the category, returns are relatively higher.</p>
<p></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">However, as this is not a primary area of investment for most, there is a lot of apprehension about when and how to invest. Outlook Money seeks to answer some of these questions and help you assess a whole new turf for making money.</p>
<p></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>Why invest in commodities?</strong></span></div>
<p><span style="font-family:arial;">
<div align="justify"></span><span style="font-family:arial;">Commodities allow a portfolio to improve overall return at the same level of risk. Ibbotson Associates, a leading US-based authority on asset allocation estimates that commodities increased returns between 133 and 188 basis points, at no extra risk.</p>
<p></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><strong><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><strong><span style="font-family:arial;">Who should invest?</span> </strong></div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Any investor who wants to take advantage of price movements and wishes to diversify his portfolio can invest in commodities. However, retail and small investors should be careful while investing in commodities as the swings are volatile and lack of knowledge may result in loss of wealth.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Investors must understand the demand cycles that commodities go through and should have a view on what factors may affect this. Ideally, you should invest in select commodities that you can analyse rather than speculate across products you have no idea about.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Investing in commodities should be undertaken as a kicker in your portfolio and not as the first destination for your money.</span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What is commodity trading?</strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><strong><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">It&#8217;s an age-old phenomenon. Modern markets came up in the late 18th century, when farming began to be modernised. Though the trade&#8217;s mechanisms have changed, the basics are still the same.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">In common parlance, commodities means all types of products. However, the Foreign Currency Regulation Act (FCRA) defines them as &#8216;every kind of movable property other than actionable claims, money and securities.&#8217;<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Commodity trading is nothing but trading in commodity spot and derivatives (futures). If you are keen on taking a buy or sell position based on the future performance of agricultural commodities or commodities like gold, silver, metals, or crude, then you could do so by trading in commodity derivatives.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Commodity derivatives are traded on the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange (NCDEX) and the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX). Gold, silver, agri-commodities including grains, pulses, spices, oils and oilseeds, mentha oil, metals and crude are some of the commodities that these exchanges deal in.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Trading in commodities futures is quite similar to equity futures trading. You could take a long position (where you buy a contract) or a short position (where you sell it). Simply speaking, like in equity and other markets, if you think prices are on their way up, you take a long position and when prices are headed south you opt for a short position.</span></div>
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<div align="justify"><strong><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></strong> </div>
<div align="justify"><strong><span style="font-family:arial;">How big is the Indian commodity trading market as compared to other Asian markets?</span></strong></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The commodity market in India clocks a daily average turnover of Rs 12,000-15,000 crore (Rs 120-150 billion). The accumulative commodities derivatives trade value is estimated to have reached the equivalent of 66 per cent of the gross domestic product and the future will only see the percentage rising, says ICICI direct.com vice-president Kedar Deshpande.</span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What do you need to start trading? </strong></span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Like equity markets, you have to fulfil the &#8216;know your customer&#8217; norms with a commodity broker. A photo identification, PAN and proof of address are essential for registration. You will also have to sign the necessary agreements with the broker.</span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>Is there a regulator for the commodity trading market?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The Forward Markets Commission is the regulatory body for the commodity market in India. It is the equivalent of the Securities and Exchange Board of<br />
 India (Sebi), which protects the interests of investors in securities.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What kind of products can be listed on the commodity market?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">All commodities produced in the agriculture, mineral and fossil sectors have been sanctioned for futures trading. These include cereals, pulses, ginned cotton, un-ginned cotton, oilseeds, oils, jute, jute products, sugar, gur, potatoes, onions, coffee, tea, petrochemicals, and bullion, among others.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What are the risk factors?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Commodity trading is done in the form of futures and that throws up a huge potential for profit and loss as it involves predictions of the future and hence uncertainty and risk. Risk factors in commodity trading are similar to futures trading in equity markets.<br /></span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">A major difference is that the information availability on supply and demand cycles in commodity markets is not as robust and controlled as the equity market.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What are the factors that influence the commodity prices in the market?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The commodity market is driven by demand and supply factors and inventory, when it comes to perishable commodities such as agricultural products and high demand products such as crude oil. Like any market, the demand-supply equation influences the prices. Variables like weather, social changes, government policies and global factors influence the balance.<br /></span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>What is the difference between directional trading and day trading?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The key difference between commodity markets and stock markets is the nature of products traded. Agricultural produce is unpredictable and seasonal. During harvesting season, the prices of these commodities is low as supply goes up. There are traders who use these patterns to trade in the commodity market, and this is termed directional trading.<br /></span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Day trading in commodity markets is no different from day trading in the equity market, where positions are bought in the morning and squared off by the end of the day.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>Does commodity speculation affect agricultural income in India?<br /></strong></span></div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The vision for the commodity market in India is to reduce information asymmetry and make a robust market available to the end producer or farmer. It is also expected to balance out price information and give the producer a better price and a platform to hedge.</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">The futures market will allow the farmer to see the upside of the price over two to three months and help him decide where to sell.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>How to keep updated?</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Most commodity trading firms have a research team in place that prepares commodity charts and conducts detailed study on the trends of the commodity in question.<br /></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Investing strategies based on this research are usually provided to clients. They usually provide daily market reports before the market opens and intra-day calls during trading hours, along with monthly and weekly research reports</span>.</div>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Rajesh Kumar, Outlook Money</span></div>
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		<title>7 reasons to sell your stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.atulkarmarkar.com/7-reasons-to-sell-your-stocks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.atulkarmarkar.com/7-reasons-to-sell-your-stocks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Dec 2006 08:07:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Atul Karmarkar</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fundas]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.the-smart-investor.org/?p=13</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
One of the most difficult questions faced by investors in the equity markets is &#8220;When should I sell my stock or mutual fund?&#8221; I have come across investors who are often advised to buy and sell, hence churning their portfolio under the name of Active Portfolio Management.



I have also heard investors say that they are [...]]]></description>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">One of the most difficult questions faced by investors in the equity markets is &#8220;When should I sell my stock or mutual fund?&#8221; I have come across investors who are often advised to buy and sell, hence churning their portfolio under the name of Active Portfolio Management.</p>
</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">I have also heard investors say that they are continuously bombarded with buy messages but rarely do they hear the sell message. For every 10 buy recommendations that are given out, there is one sell recommendation. Just watch the broker recommendations on business channels for an hour and you will know what I am trying to say.</p>
</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">Ask yourself: &#8220;How do you decide when it is time to sell&#8221;. Pause for a moment and reflect on this question. So the point really is, when should you sell your investments? Generally there are seven situations when you should SELL:</p>
</div>
<p></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span></div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>1. When you need the money for a goal or need</p>
</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">You have been saving for buying a house, taking a vacation or for your child&#8217;s education. These are tangible goals for which you need money. At least 6-12 months before you need money for a goal sell your equity investments and move the funds into a fixed deposit or floating rate fund.</p>
<p>If the market is down at this point of time, see if you can utilise any other source of funds for your goal and check whether you can wait for an additional period of time. This decision on whether to ride the downturn a few months before you need money is completely based on your risk tolerance and varies for different people.</div>
<p></span>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong></strong></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><strong>2. You need money for a personal emergency</div>
<p></strong></span>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;">There might be a time when a personal emergency warrants far more money than you have as contingency funds. At such times when bonds, PPF and post office instruments might have a lock-in, you can look at selling your worst performing investment.</span></div>
<p><span style="font-family:arial;">
<div align="justify"><strong></strong> </div>
<div align="justify"><strong>3. Your investment has gone sour</div>
<p></strong>
<div align="justify"></div>
<div align="justify">There are periods where your investment will under perform the broader market. Should you immediately sell at this point? We generally give any fund manager a couple of quarters of underperformance especially if he has a consistent track record of delivering risk-adjusted returns.</div>
<div align="justify">Check out the reason for underperformance whether it&#8217;s due to high concentration to few sectors, or a fund manager change or bad market timing etc. Generally when a fund does too well, there is a lot of money that flows into it and hence you might see some underperformance in the funds performance due to excess cash in its portfolio.<br />In terms of a direct stock investment check whether the reasons for which you invested in a particular stock are still valid whether it be an excellent management team, earnings growth, innovation. If you still believe in the company or fund manager, then you can also look at making additional investments in the stock or mutual fund.</div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong> </div>
<div align="justify"><strong>4. Your return expectation is met or exceeded</div>
<p></strong>
<div align="justify">Some people set targets such as a return of 15 or 20 per cent and then exit whenever this target is achieved. What do you then do after selling the investment? Generally you wait for a dip but what if the economy is on a roll like the one we have where the index has been going up either due to excess liquidity or market fundamentals.<br />Several people who achieved their 30 per cent target and moved out of the market at 9000 are still waiting to re-enter. Market spurts and downturns happen in very short periods of time. We have all witnessed the 1000-point downfall in May in one day and similarly consistent 400 point moves couple of times in a week.</div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong> </div>
<div align="justify"><strong>5. When you believe the Market is overvalued and that a Correction is imminent</div>
<p></strong>
<div align="justify">This is one of the most difficult reasons to execute and get right. This assumes that one can easily time the market knowing the very top and bottom. Though all would like to believe this is possible, in the real world nothing could be further from the truth. The biggest frustration that investors and investment advisors have is when they sell and the market goes up another 20 per cent.<br />Does this make it a bad decision? There is no definite answer and hence is situation specific varying from investor to investor. Don&#8217;t judge yourself on the basis of this decision; it could have gone the other way as well. By the way it is better to sell an overvalued stock than to buy one.</div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong></div>
<div align="justify"><strong></strong> </div>
<div align="justify"><strong>6. When you need to rebalance your portfolio</div>
<p></strong>
<div align="justify">Asset Allocation is one of the key decisions that any investor must make in his lifetime and studies have proved that asset allocation accounts for almost 91 per cent of your investment performance. Suppose you decide on an equity exposure of 60 per cent and 40 per cent debt, but because of the bullish market conditions, your equity exposure has gone up to 80 per cent, then to bring back the portfolio to its original allocation, you would need to sell Equity and buy Debt.</div>
<div align="justify"><strong>7. When there is a better opportunity available</div>
<p></strong>
<div align="justify"></div>
<div align="justify"> </div>
<div align="justify">This last reason is normally one of the most frequent ones and results in churning investor&#8217;s portfolio. Webster defines churning as &#8220;To make (the account of a client) excessively active by frequent purchases and sales primarily in order to generate commissions&#8221;.</div>
<div align="justify">As given above if you feel that your investment has gone sour you should dump your investment and look out for better options else just stay put. Like elsewhere, fidelity pays in the investing world too as you lower your costs and taxes and maximise returns.</div>
<div align="justify"></div>
<div align="justify"> </div>
<div align="justify">Now that you have a control on when you should sell your investments, consider the costs and tax implications before you actually sell. However, if you have a winner in your portfolio, then as Warren Buffett said &#8220;Our favourite holding period is FOREVER.&#8221;</div>
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<p></span>
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<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"></span> </div>
<div align="justify"><span style="font-family:arial;"><a href="http://www.rediff.com/money/2006/dec/07perfin.htm">http://www.rediff.com/money/2006/dec/07perfin.htm</a></span></div>
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